eupolicy.social is one of the many independent Mastodon servers you can use to participate in the fediverse.
This Mastodon server is a friendly and respectful discussion space for people working in areas related to EU policy. When you request to create an account, please tell us something about you.

Server stats:

212
active users

#sixthextinction

1 post1 participant0 posts today
Replied in thread

@andrewstroehlein IMHO the worst crisis is the #SixthExtinction aka the #BiodiversityCrisis --if we don't do something about that very soon, our entire species is going to go extinct. No more humans on Earth, never again. #OceanAcidification and #ClimateChaos are running wild, pesticides and #PFAS are everywhere, entire biomes are going to collapse if nothing happens very soon. Or rather if things that have been happening for decades don't just stop almost immediately.
#Sudan is part of the whole human drama, and the reason why almost nobody in the richer parts of the world takes any notice is simple: #racism and #antisemitism . #Gaza gives all the antisemites a good excuse to hate the Jews a little more than usual, if you ignore the fact that not all Jews support Netanyahu's extreme right regime, even many Israelis are trying to stop them. OTOH #Hamas gives all the islamophobes a good excuse to hate Muslims more than usual while pretending to be philosemitic. But Sudan? That's just some poor place in Africa, nobody cares.

Replied in thread

@jik The collapse is happening one way or another, but we need to fight the system to increase the probability of our species Homo sapiens surviving the next few millennia, which will be very critical due to the #SixthExtinction which we have unleashed. Our civilisation is in decline, but that's OK, humans had civilisations before ours, and if any humans survive, there may be new civilisations in the future, even if it takes tens of thousands of years until this planet is once again stable enough to support a dense enough human population for a true civilisation.
There won't ever be another Industrial Age though, we've burned through the fossil resources like ores and minerals, those aren't coming back.

I think that whatever happens, we absolutely must keep a healthy biodiverse population of horses alive if we can. When civilisation eventually collapses, we will need riders to stich the remaining civilised islands back together. We humans are just a bunch of very smart monkeys, upright walking grassland apes with big mutant brains that need a lot of fat and protein, but once we ride horses, we can have a very well organised society while staying mobile until we run out of grasslands. Savannah, steppe, prairie, pampa, whatever the local type of grassland ecosystem is called, once humans have horses, we can always live rather good lives there because we evolved for it, and so did the horses.
The grasslands will be different in the future because they will shift by thousands of kilometres if all this climate mayhem continues as projected (and in order for it to continue, all we have to do is not to change anything we're doing), with new species of plants and animals evolving from whatever survives there, but as long as there is a lot of grass, horses will thrive there, and so will nomadic tribes.
Whether people can still use horses to replace broken machines that cannot be repaired will have a significant influence on the probability of survival. We (well, those few of us who survive, not me; I won't live to see the end of it, I'm almost 50) might have to party like it's 1699, but it's better than partying like it's 5,000BC, and even that is better than partying like it's 50,000,000BC when there were those cute little mini horses, and that was because all the large mammals had died out because the planet was too fucking hot for them.
Just look at how populations of non-human, non-pet and non-livestock vertebrates are plummeting right now. Some species are thriving, mostly small omnivores like mice or pigeons, but all the other vertebrates are vanishing because we're destroying their habitats to grow crops or build big concrete boxes that suck up a lot of energy and raw materials and spew out heat and rubbish. Keeping both humans and horses alive during such a collapse will be hard, but if we lose horses, we will probably fall all the way down to a Palæolithic way of life with no chance of ever getting out of it again.
People keep talking about the climate as if it were the only thing that is killing us, while the biodiversity collapse is actually the thing which is doing us in right now. If we put enough greenhouse gases into the atmosphere to tip the Earth into a global Hothouse Age like back in the days of the tiny horses that were the ancestors of all horses, donkeys, zebras, and the tiny lemurs that would over millions of years evolve into monkeys, into apes, and into us, well, that will definitely be the end of us and of 95% of all other species of plants, fungi, animals, whatever, most complex multicellular organisms will be having a bad time, but waterbears or moss piglets or whatever you like to call them, tardigrades, they will barely notice that there's another mass extinction. But the biosphere will heal, our good old Earth will be fine again in five million years, maybe ten if it's really bad. New species will evolve from the survivors.
If Homo sapiens, the last surviving species of the genus Homo, doesn't go extinct, there will be future hominids, and maybe some distant descendant a couple of million years in the future starts another Industrial Revolution and ruins everything again. Nope, not going to happen, all the fossil fuels are gone. Ha-ha! No, any postindustrial civilisation for a very, very long time will be able to start another Industrial Age. Once that's gone, it's gone. We might be able to preserve a lot of the theoretical knowledge, but we won't have the mass production. If it can't be done in a village workshop, it can't be done at all. I think the Amish are a rather weird bunch, but at least they understand that reliance on complex technology beyond what can be made and repaired locally makes you vulnerable. And horses need neither oil nor electricity.
#πολυκρίσης #polykrisis #polycrisis #overshoot #collapse #SixthExtinction #ClimateChaos

“There’s this acceleration of #extinction risk with each increment of temperature rise.”

1.3 C (current warming): 1.6 percent of species
1.5 C (aspirational Paris Agreement target): 1.8 % of species
2 C (official Paris agreement target): 2.7 % of species
2.7 C (where current policies and pledges get us): 5 % of species
4.3 C (higher emissions scenario): 14.9 % of species
5.4 C (a worst-case warming scenario): 29.7 % of species

vox.com/down-to-earth/389843/c
#SixthExtinction

Vox · This is how many animals could go extinct from climate change By Benji Jones

5-Dec-2024
Climate change threatens global #biodiversity, with extinction risks escalating at higher temperatures

eurekalert.org/news-releases/1 #science #ClimateCatastrophe #SixthExtinction #ecology

EurekAlert!Climate change threatens global biodiversity, with extinction risks escalating at higher temperaturesClimate change is driving global extinction risks, with 1.6% of species threatened at 1.3°C of warming and risks escalating to 29.7% at 5.4°C, according to a new meta-analysis encompassing more than 30 years of research. Climate change is reshaping ecosystems and biodiversity globally, altering species distributions, interactions, and population dynamics. While some species adapt or migrate to track shifting climates, others face population declines, shrinking ranges, and potential extinction. Recent global biodiversity assessments forecast extinction risks for over a million species, though the specific contribution of climate change to these predictions remains unclear. Effective conservation efforts to protect this biodiversity require an understanding of these risks globally, but to do so requires a comprehensive synthesis of many datasets. To produce a quantitative estimate of extinctions attributable to climate change, Mark Urban performed a formal meta-analysis that incorporates more than 5.5 million individual projections from 485 studies covering most known species. The author’s analysis greatly advances prior assessments by tripling the number of studies included and leveraging sophisticated modeling approaches that account for species’ sensitivity and adaptability to climate change. According to the findings, under current global temperatures, which are currently 1.3°C above preindustrial levels, 1.6% of species are expected to face extinction. As temperatures rise to 1.5°C – the Paris Agreement’s target – extinction risks increase to 1.8%, and further to 2.7% at 2.0°C. With international emission targets leading to a projected 2.7°C rise, 1 in 20 species will be at risk. Beyond this, extinction risks escalate sharply; 14.9% at 4.3°C and 29.7% at 5.4°C. Amphibians; species from mountain, island, and freshwater ecosystems; and species inhabiting South America, Australia, and New Zealand face the greatest threats.

Season Two Episode Ten: Ecofascism and Rewilding: A Conversation With Ariel Kroon and Christina De La Rocha

There’s no question that the biosphere is in crisis right now thanks to human-driven global warming, our hostile takeover of most of Earth’s land area, and our pollution and overfishing of the seas. Slowing down—never mind outright stopping—the collapse of the Earth’s ecosystems and the mass extinction currently gaining pace calls for aggressively protecting the environment, or possibly even giving half of the Earth’s land surface back to nature in a process known as rewilding.

But how will we manage to share the Earth with the rest of the biosphere when history shows that we’re pretty terrible at sharing it with each other, with some states even going so far as to have used the preservation of wilderness as a tool of genocide and white supremacy? There are still those who would use environmental protection as an excuse to block immigrants, reject refugees, and expel “undesirable” people from the land. What will it take to value human and non-human life and the land all equally, without using one as an excuse to persecute the other?

Getting urgently-needed environmental protection and rewilding right requires facing the evils that have been historically committed in the name of conservation, so that we don’t repeat those grave mistakes, even with the best of intentions. As solarpunks, we need to learn from the past in order to shape futures that are intentionally better than our pasts and presents.

youtu.be/iWs1NGgdyvI?si=Ff-f2U