Will Tuladhar-Douglas<p>Please read this thread: <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/@ai6yr/114802747128327905" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">m.ai6yr.org/@ai6yr/11480274712</span><span class="invisible">8327905</span></a></p><p>It carries both intelligent commentary and deep local knowledge of the Guadalupe River flood, and it shows nicely how past understanding of severe weather extremes in a landscape where people have learned to adapt ... just is not much help now. Sobering and terrifying.</p><p>Scientists contributing to the IPCC talk about integrated physical/social models for long-term forecasting. The worst ones are those where environmental degradation goes along with political fragmentation and a collapse in regulation, driving further breakdown in climate/pollution/biodiversity... in a vicious spiral. This is what that looks like at a local level.</p><p>h/t to <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/@ai6yr" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>ai6yr</span></a></span> <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://infosec.exchange/@johntimaeus" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>johntimaeus</span></a></span> <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.online/@michael_w_busch" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>michael_w_busch</span></a></span> </p><p><a href="https://todon.nl/tags/globalHeating" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>globalHeating</span></a><br><a href="https://todon.nl/tags/Polycrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Polycrisis</span></a> <br><a href="https://todon.nl/tags/localKnowledge" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>localKnowledge</span></a></p>