https://www.europesays.com/2151086/ WelcomeFest Wants Politicians Who Choose to Believe in Nothing #abundance #Democrats #Election2024 #JeffHauser #KamalaHarris #Politics #polling #RevolvingDoorProject #SuperPACs
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The percent of Americans who identify as LGBT has increased every year Gallup has surveyed US adults about their sexualities and gender identities.
In its most recent annual report, the percent of Americans who identify as LGBT increased by the most it ever has, since Gallup began tracking LGBT identity in 2012.
https://jasonbeets.blogspot.com/2025/02/gallup-93-of-americans-are-lgbt.html
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jasonbeets.blogspot.comGallup: 9.3% of Americans are LGBT The percent of Americans who identify as LGBT has increased every year Gallup has surveyed US adults about their sexualities and gender ...
https://www.europesays.com/2105173/ Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Goes Negative With Republican Pollster #ApprovalRating #DonaldTrump #HPTopStories #polling #polls #POTUS #PresidentDonaldTrump #PresidentOfTheUnitedStates #PresidentTrump #trump #TrumpApprovalRating
“New poll shows Labour’s pandering to the far right is failing miserably”
by Ed Sykes in The Canary @thecanaryuk @UKLabour
“No wonder local communities and trade unionists are preparing for the upcoming creation of a new left-wing mass movement to replace Labour”
https://www.thecanary.co/uk/analysis/2025/05/21/labour-polling-latest/?__s=1toyfummtp6bhspv4akg
Canary · New poll shows Labour's pandering to the far right is failing miserablyIt's not just the far right, though - as Labour is failing to win over quite literally any voters from any other parties - or even their own
KFF.org, a nonprofit #health #policy #research, #polling, and #news organization, maintains a page on its site where you can track the Medicaid provisions in Congress's 2025 Reconciliation Bill: Most recent update: https://www.kff.org/tracking-the-medicaid-provisions-in-the-2025-budget-bill/. So, Trump et al, only 7.6 million Americans would be without health #insurance, huh? No big deal, huh? 
KFFTracking the Medicaid Provisions in the 2025 Reconciliation Bill | KFFKFF is tracking the Medicaid provisions in the 2025 federal budget bill, including new Medicaid work and verification requirements and a reduction in the expansion match rate for states that use their own funds to cover undocumented immigrants.
https://www.europesays.com/2070024/ How Leading 2028 Democrats’ Popularity Compares to Trump and JD Vance #AlexandriaOcasioCortez #CoryBooker #Democrats #DonaldTrump #GavinNewsom #JamesDavidVance #JdVance #KamalaHarris #PeteButtigieg #poll #polling #popularity #Republicans #U.S.Politics #vance #VicePresident #VP
This sort of polling adjustment does not provide information on public opinion, it produces propaganda to shape that opinion. Weighting results to fit with an 11 year old referendum result surely isn’t justified.
#Politics #Scotland #Polls #Polling
Survation repeat their regular sample ‘adjustment’ to pluck another No vote to influence rather than inform https://talkingupscotlandtwo.com/2025/05/07/survation-repeat-their-regular-sample-adjustment-to-pluck-another-no-vote-to-influence-rather-than-inform/
Talking-up Scotland · Survation repeat their regular sample ‘adjustment’ to pluck another No vote to influence rather than informProfessor John Robertson OBA In the midst of clear dissatisfaction with the UK Labour Government’s new austerity policies, collapsing support for Labour and Cons, the pollster Survation manag…
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL PROJECTION
As usual, #BallotBoxScotland has done a write-up of this poll and a Scottish Parliament seat projection:
* National Party: 59 (-5)
* Labour: 26 (+4)
* Conservatives: 14 (-17)
Reform UK: 11 (+11)
* Greens: 10 (+2)
* Liberal Democrats: 9 (+5)
* Scottish
Changes with the 2021 election.
Ballot Box Scotland · Poll Analysis: Survation 16th – 22nd of April 2025Labour continue to suffer the effects of the SNP’s constituency dominance, with the suggestion of a Pro-Independence majority at Holyrood. Meanwhile, Reform UK slide back down from an outlier…
Continued thread
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Westminster voting intention from the same poll:
SNP: 33% (=) Labour: 24% (=) Reform UK: 15% (=) Conservatives: 14% (+1) Liberal Democrats: 9% (=) Greens: 5% (+1)
SNP lead of 9 points.
SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Holyrood regional list voting intention by #Survation:
* National Party: 28% (-1) * Labour: 22% (+2) * Conservatives: 16% (+3) Reform UK: 12% (-4) * Greens: 10% (+2) * Liberal Democrats: 9% (=)
Alba: 2% (-1)
* Scottish
Holyrood constituency voting intention:
* National Party: 36% (+2) * Labour: 22% (-1) Reform UK: 14% (-3) * Conservatives: 13% (+1) * Liberal Democrats: 9% (+1) * Greens: 5% (+1) Alba: 1% (=)
* Scottish
Conducted 16-22 April 2025. Changes with 6-13 March 2025.
https://www.europesays.com/2047799/ Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Underwater in Every Swing State—Poll #ApprovalRating #arizona #DonaldTrump #election #Georgia #Michigan #Nevada #Pennsylvania #poll #polling #trump #U.S.Politics #Wisconsin
In what would likely be a major scandal under any other administration, but feels a bit like a "well duh" moment after the first 100 days of the Trumpenreich's fascist rule, recent polling indicates that a majority of American voters now support impeaching President Trump a third time.
https://www.commondreams.org/news/trump-impeachment-2025
Majority of US Voters Support Third Trump Impeachment: Poll
"Specifically, a polling memo published Friday by ASO Communications and Research Collaborative shows that just a few months into Trump's return to the White House, 52% of likely voters across the ideological spectrum somewhat or strongly support impeaching him—including 84% of Democrats, 55% of Independents, and even 20% of his fellow Republicans."
While I don't believe there's any amount of polling that will make the Trump regime surrender, and I remain doubtful a fascist GOP is likely to risk reprisal from Trump's hardcore nazi base in the party to impeach Der Leader, I still think it's pretty relevant that experiencing the reality of Trump's authoritarianism in action is driving a majority of Americans to desire his removal from office.
Much of Trump's presumed authority to install himself as a dictator comes from the regime's invocation of a popular mandate to transform America into a white ethnostate, as well as a complicit media's refusal to address a clear lack of that mandate while they focus on "will he or won't he" coverage of Trump's obviously fascist activities. As more and more evidence comes in that the regime's Christian Nationalist agenda is in fact not popular, and Americans do not believe Trump has the authority to enact it, it's going to become harder and harder for both the regime and collaborators in the mainstream establishment to keep pretending there might be a veneer of legality or popular support behind all the government's nazi bullshit.
In the end, I'm pretty sure there's no way to topple the Trump regime that doesn't involve putting millions of people in the street to actively disrupt the police state and make it impossible for the collaborator class to profit from all that fascism. By that same measure however, I don't think Americans are going to rise up and stop their fascist government until they're completely sure there are no easier options for ending Trump's reign of tyranny and they believe the majority of people in this country are ready to rise up with them. In my opinion, polls like this one help shatter the fascists' false projection of invincibility, and bring us closer to that uprising; and as such that makes these numbers a welcome sight for my exhausted eyes at least.
Common Dreams · Majority of US Voters Support Third Trump Impeachment: Poll | Common DreamsNew polling shows a majority of U.S. voters support impeaching President Donald Trump a third time.
Liberals hold four-point lead over Conservatives heading into Monday’s vote: Ipsos
New polling data from Ipsos suggests tight national numbers obscure a Liberal advantage in key provinces such as Ontario, Québec and British Columbia.
#politics #election #polling #Ontario #Québec #BritishColumbia
https://globalnews.ca/news/11151536/liberals-hold-four-point-lead-ipsos/
NOTE: MAYORAL ELECTION OPINION POLLING
An example of why polling is difficult, especially for local elections, can be found in the tables of the #YouGov mayoral opinion polls.
Here is a list of how the percentage of people polled reporting an 8 out of 10, or greater, certainty of voting compares to the turnout at the last set of elections in the area in question:
Reported/actual last time:
Cambs & Peterborough: 63%/37%
Greater Lincolnshire: 57%/35%ish
Hull & East Yorks: 56%/31%
West of England: 60%/37%
So yeah, trying to accurately predict election outcomes based on opinion poll responses is hard.
yougov.co.ukCombined authority mayoral elections 2025: where does voting intention stand? | YouGovReform UK have clear leads in inaugural races for Lincolnshire and Hull mayors
NOTE: MAYORAL ELECTION OPINION POLLING
An example of why polling is difficult, especially for local elections, can be found in the tables of the #YouGov mayoral opinion polls.
Here is a list of how the percentage of people polled reporting an 8 out of 10, or greater, certainty of voting compares to the turnout at the last set of elections in the area in question:
Reported/actual last time:
Cambs & Peterborough: 63%/37%
Greater Lincolnshire: 57%/35%ish
Hull & East Yorks: 56%/31%
West of England: 60%/37%
So yeah, trying to accurately predict election outcomes based on opinion poll responses is hard.
yougov.co.ukCombined authority mayoral elections 2025: where does voting intention stand? | YouGovReform UK have clear leads in inaugural races for Lincolnshire and Hull mayors
CAMBRIDGESHIRE & PETERBOROUGH OPINION POLL
Mayoral voting intention by #YouGov:
Conservatives: 32% Reform UK: 20% Labour: 19% Liberal Democrats: 18% Green Party: 10%
Conservative lead of 12 points.
Conducted 9-23 April 2025.
CAVEAT: Local/regional election turnout is much lower than national elections and varies widely depending on what other elections are taking place and how much campaigning is taking place on the ground. This can lead to very large polling errors.
WEST OF ENGLAND OPINION POLL
Mayoral voting intention by #YouGov:
Green Party: 27% Labour: 23% Reform UK: 18% Conservatives: 17% Liberal Democrats: 13%
Independent: 2%
Green lead of 4 points.
Conducted 9-23 April 2025.
CAVEAT: Local/regional election turnout is much lower than national elections and varies widely depending on what other elections are taking place and how much campaigning is taking place on the ground. This can lead to very large polling errors.
HULL & EAST YORKSHIRE OPINION POLL
Mayoral voting intention by #YouGov:
Reform UK: 35% Liberal Democrats: 21% Labour: 20% Conservatives: 15% Green Party: 7% Independent: 3%
Reform lead of 14 points.
Conducted 9-23 April 2025.
CAVEAT: Local/regional election turnout is much lower than national elections and varies widely depending on what other elections are taking place and how much campaigning is taking place on the ground. This can lead to very large polling errors.