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#economics

129 posts88 participants4 posts today

The latest evidence to support the Trump TACO meme (Trump Always Chickens Out) is the pause in imposing raised tariff truce/pause despite Trump's team being unable to finalise an agreement with the Chinese.

He will dignify it saying he's working hard to make a deal... but many will suspect he's looked at the profile of Chinese imports (and their embeddedness in US supply chains) & realised it might have a major & speedy impact on the MAGA crowd if the tariffs were imposed...

Consumers are salting away more cash (in various savings accounts), likely due to fears about economic upheavals ahead;

This, of course (in Keynesian terms) removes 'effective demand' from the economy, worsening the very slowdown people fear;

And then when we know that 50% of all UK 'investment' ends up in property (including residential) we can see how this might also drive house price inflation as those savings seek 'performing asset' (residential mortgages) to pay interest.

@GhostOnTheHalfShell I'm just finishing watching this. It is so illuminating.

#Followers, consider setting aside 2.5 hours to watch this. #MichaelHudson's speaking style doesn't quite match the expanse of his wisdom, but the wisdom shines through. He does fumble a bit with 'automatic intelligence,' but comparing #AI to the #mechanization of #labor and #Marx and #Ricardo is spot on. There are SO MANY valuable ideas in this talk. It is disruptive. We are not taught how the systems of #politics, #economics, #SocialSciences and #religion have an overall organization in western society, but he ties it together. Break it up if you have to, but watch this talk.

Original text of the Lord's Prayer:

"Forgive us our debts, as we also have forgiven our debtors."

The inversion of #Christianity in the #Catholic Church to become the origins of the modern #banking system is a mind-altering re-teaching of history.

#GlobalWarming = #debt. 🤯

Biggest experiment in US economy in a long time.

From ‪@jc-econ.bsky.social‬ :

The weighted average tariff in effect on US imports continues to creep higher w/ every announcement taking it to levels not seen since the 1930s & customs collections are on track for >$350bn in taxes on US firms & consumers per year while the media dutifully reports things as "not as bad as feared"

#AI is changing #business much more slowly than expected. A high-quality survey from America’s Census Bureau finds that a mere 10% of firms are using it in a meaningful way. “#Enterprise adoption has disappointed,” notes a recent paper by ubs, a bank.

Goldman Sachs, another bank, tracks #companies that, in the view of its analysts, have “the largest estimated potential change to baseline #earnings from #AIAdoption”. In recent months the firms’ share prices have underperformed. the #market. With its fantastic capabilities, ai represents hundred-dollar bills lying on the street.

Why, then, are #firms not picking them up? #Economics may provide an answer.”

<economist.com/finance-and-econ> (paywall) / <archive.md/4tVL7>

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The Economist · Why is AI so slow to spread? Economics can explainBy The Economist