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#bayesianism

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Lupposofi<p>Igor Douven has revised his SEP-entry on Abduction, <a href="https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/abduction/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">plato.stanford.edu/entries/abd</span><span class="invisible">uction/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/abduction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>abduction</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/reasoning" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>reasoning</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/logic" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>logic</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/epistemology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>epistemology</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/tieto" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>tieto</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/filosofia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>filosofia</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/paattely" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>paattely</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/philosophy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>philosophy</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/explanation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>explanation</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/induction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>induction</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/peirce" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>peirce</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/bayesianism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>bayesianism</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/selitys" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>selitys</span></a> <a href="https://mementomori.social/tags/skepticism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>skepticism</span></a></p>
🐜🦅<p>I posted this yesterday, but I should have noted that my Cambridge Element ‘Probability and Inductive Logic’ is free to download for the next four weeks. Get amongst it!</p><p><a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009210171" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">doi.org/10.1017/9781009210171</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p><a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/philosophy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>philosophy</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/Bayesianism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Bayesianism</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/induction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>induction</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/confirmation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>confirmation</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>probability</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/philosophyofscience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>philosophyofscience</span></a></p>
🐜🦅<p>My long-in-preparation Cambridge Element ‘Probability and Inductive Logic’ is now available. </p><p><a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009210171" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">doi.org/10.1017/9781009210171</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p>Abstract: Reasoning from inconclusive evidence, or 'induction', is central to science and any applications we make of it. For that reason alone it demands the attention of philosophers of science. This element explores the prospects of using probability theory to provide an inductive logic: a framework for representing evidential support. Constraints on the ideal evaluation of hypotheses suggest that the overall standing of a hypothesis is represented by its probability in light of the total evidence, and incremental support, or confirmation, indicated by the hypothesis having a higher probability conditional on some evidence than it does unconditionally. This proposal is shown to have the capacity to reconstruct many canons of the scientific method and inductive inference. Along the way, significant objections are discussed, such as the challenge of inductive scepticism, and the objection that the probabilistic approach makes evidential support arbitrary. </p><p><a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>probability</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/induction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>induction</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/bayesianism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>bayesianism</span></a> <a href="https://fediphilosophy.org/tags/philosophy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>philosophy</span></a></p>
noisediver<p><a href="https://www.the100.ci/2024/12/05/why-you-are-not-allowed-to-say-that-your-95-confidence-interval-contains-the-true-parameter-with-a-probability-of-95/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">the100.ci/2024/12/05/why-you-a</span><span class="invisible">re-not-allowed-to-say-that-your-95-confidence-interval-contains-the-true-parameter-with-a-probability-of-95/</span></a> <a href="https://med-mastodon.com/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>stats</span></a> <a href="https://med-mastodon.com/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>statistics</span></a> <a href="https://med-mastodon.com/tags/frequentism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>frequentism</span></a> <a href="https://med-mastodon.com/tags/bayesianism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>bayesianism</span></a></p>
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